Monday, 7 July 2025

Dollar rises as China defends stringent COVID policy, dampening risk sentiment

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The dollar firmed on Monday as sentiment soured after China said it is sticking with its strict COVID restrictions, quashing hopes of an imminent reopening in the world’s second-largest economy which had earlier fired a broad rally in riskier assets, Reuters reported.
China said over the weekend that it will persevere with its “dynamic-clearing” approach to COVID-19 cases as soon as they emerge, giving little indication it would ease its outlier zero-COVID strategy nearly three years into the pandemic.
The dollar gained 0.55% on the Chinese offshore yuan CNH=D3 to 7.2141, while the risk-sensitive Australian and New Zealand dollars were also among the biggest losers, both falling nearly 1% in early Asia trade.
The Aussie AUD=D3 was last down 0.7% at $0.6426, while the kiwi NZD=D3 fell 0.6% to $0.5893.
The two currencies were huge beneficiaries of a broad rally on Friday – rising nearly 3% – as speculation that China could soon end its COVID restrictions gathered pace and buoyed risk appetite.
“People are kind of thinking there’s going to be an eventual opening … but it’s not obvious to me that there’s an imminent reopening due, and I think it’s kind of premature,” said Alvin Tan, head of Asia FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets.
The economic impact of China’s zero-COVID policy was again highlighted in trade figures released on Monday, which showed exports and imports unexpectedly contracted in October, the first simultaneous slump since May 2020.
Elsewhere, sterling GBP=D3 edged 0.3% lower to $1.1340, while the euro EUR=EBS slipped 0.1% to $0.9949, erasing some of their roughly 2% jump on Friday.
“Any rally in the Aussie, as well as the other currencies, will likely prove short-lived, given China is still very committed to its approach to the COVID outbreaks,” said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA).
Against the Japanese yen JPY=EBS, the dollar was up 0.32% at 147.14.

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