Wednesday, 23 April 2025

Euro falls after inflation data but heads for weekly gain

The euro dropped on Friday after inflation in the euro zone hit a record high, but headed for a weekly gain on hawkish signals from the European Central Bank as some calm returned to foreign exchange markets at the end of a wild week.

Sterling was also lower as end-of-quarter demand boosted the dollar, but was headed for its best week against the U.S. currency in 2 1/2 years as the BoE waded into the debt market to buy gilts for a second day on Thursday. On Monday, the pound hit a record low as markets were rattled by the British government’s plan to slash taxes and pay for it with more borrowing. GB/

Data on Friday showed euro zone inflation zoomed past forecasts to hit 10.0% in September, a new record high that will reinforce expectations for another jumbo rate hike next month from the ECB. After several days of gains, traders took profit on the euro.

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By 1055 GMT, the euro traded at $0.9761, down 0.6% EUR=EBS, while the dollar index =USD roared 0.5% higher but is on course for a weekly loss.

The pound touched $1.1235GBP=D3, erasing all of its precipitous losses in the aftermath of the new government’s so-called mini budget last Friday. It was last at $1.1066, down 0.5%.

Foreign exchange volatility has surged this week as investors worry about the pace of global monetary tightening and the UK mini-budget fallout, and while nerves calmed on Friday, few analysts think it is over.

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